More Picks for this weekend’s UFC186 – Johnson vs. Horiguchi

As well as betting picks, I’ll give my opinions on some extra fights and explain why I don’t want to bet on them:

Demetrious Johnson vs Kyoji Horiguchi
C.B. Dollaway vs Michael Bisping
Fabio Maldonado vs Quinton Jackson
John Makdessi vs Shane Campbell
Alexis Davis vs Sarah Kaufman

I have no particular opinion on the above fights that you won’t have heard elsewhere.

Thomas Almeida vs Yves Jabouin
So this guy’s the new UFC prodigy. Well, maybe so. However, he’s very hitable, specifically very jabable. I wouldn’t bet him personally at these odds. I’d wanna see how he deals with someone who just leg kicks the crap out of him first and basically just get a bit more “data”. I feel like Almeida does more than likely win but if I was in Yves’ corner I’d be asking him to work the front leg like there was no tomorrow and keep that lateral movement going (which is his natural style). Almeida is a little bit like a higher tempo, less flat footed Nick Diaz and I would like to see what happened if he got slowed down by those leg kicks. I think Jabouin’s output is a little too tentative here and he’s probably too chinny but with a perfect gameplan it could be a very close fight.

Joe Riggs vs Patrick Cote
I’m big on Cote in this fight and have placed a 11 unit bet on him at -180. These odds are way too good. Joe Riggs is done as far as I am concerned. Though Cote’s chin might not be what it used to be, it’s still really solid and I just see him as significantly better than Riggs everywhere.

Bryan Barberena vs Chad Laprise
You can check out my reasoning for an 11 unit bet on Laprice in the post below this one!

David Michaud vs Olivier Aubin-Mercier
Aubin-Mercier is a big favourite here but he definitely worries me and I wouldn’t bet it. He’s a rudimentary, single shot striker. He’s hitable. He fights at a fairly slow tempo. Michaud is no great shakes either but he looks like he hits hard and I would bet he’s a better wrestler than Aubin-Mercier. I see this being a super-scrappy/scrambly, close fight and I wouldn’t touch it with a barge pole when it comes to betting.

Chris Clements vs Nordine Taleb
Basically I think Nordine Taleb will not win inside the distance. You can get that at -171. However, you get better odds if you place the two bets separately on Chris Clements straight up (+226) and Nordine Taleb to win the decision (+171). I’m edging towards a Taleb Decision but I just don’t see the guy as a finisher. He has a good jab, perhaps some power but he does not commit to a finish. When he takes people down he’s more than happy to just sit in half guard and drop ponderous elbows. Chris Clements is a bulldoze fowards, winging looping punches striker with a lot of power. He telegraphs his shots but still lands. He does land a lot of kicks, which I think could work against Taleb. The guy’s tough as nails. He got tooled by Matt Riddle but Riddle is basically a polar opposite of Taleb in terms of aggression.

Jessica Rakoczy vs Valerie Letourneau
I saw another (very prominent but less successful than he makes out) tipster say these two were lacking in technique. My god. Rakoczy was an 8 time world boxing champion. Letourneau has extremely good technique. We haven’t seen anything of Letourneau on the ground in the UFC so I think this one’s impossible to call personally and nobody should be betting it… There are just soooo many unknowns. Age (Rakoczy is nearly 40), long layoffs, insufficient data, Letourneau seems to cut easily. Blurgh…. still, I do think it will be a good fight! If I was forced to pick I would maybe say Rakoczy was a better bet because she’s the underdog.

Aisling Daly vs Randa Markos
I would side with Markos here. This was one of my initial bets but I watched Daly vs Chambers yesterday and Daly beasted her and looked very slick on the ground, so I am not betting it. I’m pretty sure this will end up as a decision one way or the other but at -185 I don’t think it’s that worth betting.

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UFC 186: Johnson vs. Horiguchi Betting Tips

I’ve decided to start offering betting tips on MMA and my first tip is Chad Laprice. You can get him at -296 or;

Inside the distance: +197
Wins by decision: +111

I’m very confident in him as a pick but can’t decide if he’s going to get the finish or not, so I’m just going to go with the big 11 units on him straight up.

Barberina is just not on his level BUT Laprice doesn’t appear to be a finisher at the highest level. Laprice had back control in his last fight a couple of times and couldn’t do anything with it. However, he seems to be an extremely intelligent fighter in terms of gameplanning, taking strikers down and keeping it standing with excellent takedown defense against the grappler, in his last two fights respectively.

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UFC Betting Tipster

Anyone looking for UFC betting advice, there’s a new tipster service just opened up at BetMMA.tips.

Their system uses Wisdom of Crowds and clever formulae to come up with betting picks for upcoming UFC events and occasionally betting advice for Bellator and WSOF. So far their success has been incredible… surpassing all other MMA tipsters’ all time profits in just a few months. They are constantly improving their equations to refine the results too and no doubt they will go from strength to strength.

At the moment their predictions cost just $3 per event to view. Oh and if you are a tipster yourself, you can sign up, make MMA predictions yourself and earn credits to view the UFC betting predictions for free!

So check it out MMA Betting Tips!

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UFC 141 betting blog

This weekend sees a big headliner at UFC 141 in Las Vegas for the traditional New Year’s UFC bash. In the main event we have Brock Lesnar taking on Alisair Overeem. Co-main is Nate Diaz against Donald Cerrone and there are some well known (and therefore well researched for betting) names on the undercard too. Here are the bouts:

Betting on MMA – odds listed below.

BROCK LESNAR +115
ALISTAIR OVEREEM -145

NATE DIAZ +210
DONALD CERRONE -260

JOHNY HENDRICKS +190
JON FITCH -240

VLADIMIR MATYUSHENKO +265
ALEXANDER GUSTAFSSON -325

JIM HETTES +195
NAM PHAN -245

JUNIOR ASSUNCAO +245
ROSS PEARSON -305

ANTHONY NJOKUANI +145
DANNY CASTILLO -175

Looking at the big event, I’m going with Overeem. That is with a little trepidation given his performance against Wedum – i.e. he got taken down rather too easily. However, we have a serious problem on the Brock Lesnar side in the form of his chin. I ask myself, will Brock finish Overeem if we go to the mat? Probably not. So we’ll have plenty of action on the feet and in those periods, Overeem is going to connect. He’s also going to get hit, so it’s not out of the reals of possibility that Lesnar hurts him but playing the percentages, I’d bet on Overeem as a narrow favourite.

In the co-main event it’s hard to see Diaz winning. Cerrone has been on a tear and I see him probably taking a decision. Not sure it’s worth a bet to be honest.

Hendricks vs Fitch I think is probably worth a bet on Fitch. It’s one of those fights that you start second guessing yourself because it seems so obvious. I mean, OBVIOUSLY Fitch will win, right? So we then have to over analyse everything and end up deciding that Hendricks has a chance. No, he doesn’t, Fitch is going to win. Worth a bet.

The rest of the card I’m afraid that I’m not confident enough to offer up much advice, other than get yourself on youtube and watch some fights from the underdogs. All the favourites are beatable fighters so if you think you can see any weaknesses, get on it. One of those guys will probably lose – you just have to pick the right one.

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UFC chat room

If you’re interested in chatting about The Ultimate Fighting Championships and Mixed Martial Arts in general, join our MMA & UFC chat room at MMA Tycoon. There are people in the MMA chat room 365 days a year, 24/7, talking about MMA, so come and join the discussion!

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EA Sports MMA Reviews

Check out our selection of reviews for EA Sports’ MMA Video Game.

Joystiq – EA MMA Review
IGN Review
CVG Review

Youtube Video Review – EA MMA
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=65Ad9cu23n4

 

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